Introduction to time series and forecasting - class-XI
Description: introduction to time series and forecasting | |
Number of Questions: 23 | |
Created by: Avatara Chahal | |
Tags: time series and forecasting time series applied statistics maths moving averages business mathematics and statistics statistics |
Which of the following is not one of the four types of variation that is estimated in time-series analysis?
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Predictable
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Trend
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Cyclical
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Irregular
Four types of variations estimated in time-series analysis are :-
The unsystematic sequence which follows irregular pattern of variations is called:
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Noise
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Signal
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Linear
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Non-Linear
By definition,
Noise is a component of time series which is the unsystematic sequence which follows irregular pattern of variations
A time series consists of:
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Short-term variations
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Long-term variations
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Irregular variations
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All of the above
$\Rightarrow$ A time series consist of $Short-term\,variations,\,Long-term\,variations\, and\, Irregular\,variation.$
Depression in business is:
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Secular trend
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Cyclical
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Seasonal
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Irregular
$\Rightarrow$ Depression in business is : $Cyclical $.
An orderly set of data arranged in accordance with their time of occurrence is called:
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Arithmetic series
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Harmonic series
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Geometric series
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Time series
From the definition of Time series,
Barometric methods are used to forecast
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seasonal variation.
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secular trend.
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cyclical variation.
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irregular variation.
Its a fact. Barometric methods are used to forecast cyclical variation.
If $A : B =3 : 4$ and $B : C =5 : 6$, then $A : C$ is
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$7:3$
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$3:4$
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$1:2$
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$5:9$
$A:B=3:4$
$B:C=5:6$
$\therefore \frac { A }{ B } =\frac { 3 }{ 4 } & \frac { B }{ C } =\frac { 5 }{ 6 } $
$\therefore \frac { A }{ B } \times \frac { B }{ C } =\frac { A }{ C } $
$\therefore \frac { 3 }{ 4 } \times \frac { 5 }{ 6 } =A:C$
$=\frac { 15 }{ 24 } =\frac { 5 }{ 8 } $
A:C=5:8
A pattern that is repeated throughout a time series and has a recurrence period of at most one year is called
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Cyclical variation
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Irregular variation
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Seasonal variation
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Long term variation
$\Rightarrow$ A pattern that is repeated throughout a time series and has a recurrence period of at most one year is called $Seasonal\, variation$.
Increase in the number of patients in the hospital due to heat stroke is:
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Secular trend
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Irregular variation
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Seasonal variation
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Cyclical variation
$\Rightarrow$ Increase in the number of patients in the hospital due to heat stroke is : $Seasonal\, variation.$
A complete cycle consists of a period of:
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Prosperity and depression
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Prosperity and recovery
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Prosperity and recession
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Recession and recovery
$\Rightarrow$ A complete cycle consist of period of : $Prosperity\, and\, recession$.
The general pattern of increase or decrease in economics or social phenomena is shown by:
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Seasonal trend
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Cyclical trend
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Secular trend
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Irregular trend
$\Rightarrow$ The general pattern of increase or decrease in economics or social phenomena is shown by : $Secular\, trend$.
Secular trend can be measured by:
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Two methods
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Three methods
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Four methods
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Five methods
$\Rightarrow$ Secular trend can be measured by: $Four\, methods.$
Damages due to floods, droughts, strikes fires and political disturbances are:
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Trend
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Seasonal
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Cyclical
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Irregular
$\Rightarrow$ Damages due to floods, drought, strikes fires and political disturbances are : $Irregular$.
The method of moving average is used to find the:
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Secular trend
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Seasonal variation
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Cyclical variation
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Irregular variation
$\Rightarrow$ The method of moving average is used to find the : $Secular\, trend.$
A complete cycle passes through:
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Two stages
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Three stages
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Four stages
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Difficult to tell
$\Rightarrow$ A complete cycle passes through : $Four\, stages$.
The rise and fall of a time series over periods longer than one year is called
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Secular trend
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Seasonal variation
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Cyclical variation
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Irregular variation
$\Rightarrow$ The rise and fall of time series over periods longer than one year is called $Cyclical\,variation.$
The secular trend is measured by the method of semi-averages when:
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Time series based on yearly values
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Time series consists of even number of values
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Trend is linear
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None of them
$\Rightarrow$ The secular trend is measured by the method of semi-averages when : $Trend\,is\,linear.$
Increased demand of admission in the subject of computer in Pakistan is:
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Secular trend
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Cyclical trend
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Seasonal trend
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Irregular trend
$\Rightarrow$ Increased demand of admission in the subject of computer in Pakistan is : $Secular\, trend$.
The fire in a factory is an example of
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Secular trend
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Seasonal movements
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Cyclical variations
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Irregular variations
$\Rightarrow$ The fire in factory is an example of $Irregular\, variations.$
Wheat crops badly damaged on account of rains is
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Cyclical movement
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Random movement
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Secular trend
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Seasonal movement
$\Rightarrow$ Wheat crops badly damaged on account of rains is $Random\, movement$
Moving average method is used for measurement of trend when:
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Trend is linear
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Trend is non linear
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Trend is curvilinear
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None of them
$\Rightarrow$ Moving average method is used for measurement of trend when : $Trend\, is\,linear$.
In time series seasonal variations can occur within a period of:
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Four years
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Three years
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One year
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Nine years
$\Rightarrow$ In time series seasonal variations can occur within a period of : $One\,year$.
Indicate which of the following an example of seasonal variations is:
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Death rate decreased due to advance in science
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The sale of air condition increases during summer
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Recovery in business
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Sudden causes by wars
$\Rightarrow$ Example of seasonal variation is : $The\,sale\,of\,air\,condition\,increases\,during\,summer.$